Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.581813 0.685519 0.800707 0.937900 1.096610 1.274194 1.487702
2024-12-15 0.509626 0.662139 0.846972 1.086461 1.387460 1.752043 2.225812
2024-12-22 0.410143 0.584023 0.812548 1.132468 1.565950 2.129637 2.914350
2024-12-29 0.347675 0.539282 0.810741 1.218679 1.810344 2.630211 3.843384
2025-01-05 0.293188 0.493468 0.798147 1.287479 2.043456 3.153973 4.891122
2025-01-12 0.240381 0.438014 0.760037 1.311140 2.214932 3.617198 5.926952
2025-01-19 0.198742 0.390808 0.724924 1.332054 2.384892 4.103300 7.071448
2025-01-26 0.172760 0.364715 0.719484 1.400599 2.643235 4.766253 8.592626
2025-02-02 0.162052 0.364701 0.760091 1.557183 3.077895 5.781899 10.838948
2025-02-09 0.142099 0.341327 0.751967 1.621448 3.355907 6.564503 12.787857
2025-02-16 0.118555 0.304326 0.709107 1.609517 3.487365 7.100166 14.363598
2025-02-23 0.096512 0.264853 0.652592 1.558329 3.531814 7.477035 15.690549
2025-03-02 0.078368 0.230417 0.601148 1.511363 3.584289 7.890916 17.174825
2025-03-09 0.070754 0.220935 0.605632 1.591485 3.923160 8.928361 20.040805
2025-03-16 0.058242 0.194416 0.562725 1.551894 3.989536 9.410412 21.833240
2025-03-23 0.051278 0.181789 0.552404 1.590168 4.242159 10.325745 24.659266
2025-03-30 0.045060 0.169535 0.540330 1.621745 4.484370 11.250921 27.624053
2025-04-06 0.038387 0.153619 0.514221 1.610678 4.619062 11.949211 30.169047
2025-04-13 0.032995 0.140250 0.492357 1.606946 4.772122 12.710985 32.954467
2025-04-20 0.029965 0.134455 0.492445 1.666808 5.104409 13.948514 37.009588
2025-04-27 0.029577 0.138736 0.525970 1.833583 5.756148 16.056447 43.400008
2025-05-04 0.026951 0.133158 0.525510 1.895604 6.123399 17.489214 48.287066
2025-05-11 0.023141 0.121164 0.499972 1.872717 6.242341 18.295582 51.695855